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stock market enthusiasm wanes as political uncertainty and inflation concerns rise

The S&P 500 has returned to levels close to those before the election, reflecting a decline in the initial enthusiasm following President Trump's re-election. Concerns over inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and a mixed outlook for corporate earnings have contributed to this cooling rally. In contrast, Trump Media, the parent company of Truth Social, saw a significant increase of over 21% despite the broader market's struggles.

stock markets face inflation risks as investors remain overly optimistic

Bank of America warns that stock markets may be underestimating the risks of returning inflation, despite a resilient economy and falling inflation rates. With upcoming US consumer price index figures, a cooler print could lead to a year-end rally, while a hotter print may increase market volatility. Recent market movements indicate vulnerability, as stocks have shown signs of weakness following declines, and options positioning has shifted, reducing the buffer against volatility.
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